Elazar was launched in 2004 by Chaim Siegel and has served famous hedge fund clientele who demand a keen understanding of drivers of individual companies and financial markets. Chaim twice worked for renowned trader Steve Cohen of then-SAC Capital (now Point72). He was also a partner at JLF Asset Management which was funded by George Soros. Previously he was one of seven analysts on a $13B mutual fund at Morgan Stanley Asset Management. Elazar Advisors publishes its research into the Reuters/Refinitiv Institutional Platform and Factset where Elazar's earnings estimates are factored into the Street earnings numbers.  Elazar's research is used regularly by fundamental and algorithmic traders and investors at some of the largest mutual fund and hedge fund managers in the world. Chaim has been a 5-Star top ranked analyst in Tesla and other big cap tech companies. Try us with a  free trial here . All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and l

Potential Stock Market Low Today

july 4 stock market seasonality
We're now the day after July 4th.

We'll keep this short and sweet.

July 4th Stock Market Low

We wrote last Thursday why we thought the market took a spill last week. It may have simply been typical seasonality. The stock market historically sees a low the days before July 4th and generally rises the rest of the year.

Heads-Up It's July 5th

For those who had one long-amazing July 4th weekend, heads-up, we are now one day after July 4th.  If seasonality holds then the stock market should start to strengthen with July 4th out of the way.



Proof From Thursday


HolidayBuy 2 days before,
sell year end
Buy one day before,
sell at year end
President's Day*   -0.1%12.2%
Good Friday  7.3%17.8%
Memorial Day-4.7%22.8%
July 4th13.3%37.3%
Labor Day16.8%33.7%
Election Day   17.9%4.6%
Thanksgiving   4.3%1.1%
Christmas-7.1%15.2%
New Year's31.1%19.6%
Here's a chart from stockcharts.com.

Look at those July 4th numbers. It doesn't get better than buying one day before July 4th and holding the rest of the year when looking at cumulative results over the last 50 years.

Over time the stock market does (we focus on the S&P 500 Index SPY ETF) well in the first half so traders and investors take profits ahead of July 4th to take the pressure off before they head to the Hamptons. 


It's still ok to be bullish.

By: Chaim Siegel, Elazar Advisors, LLC

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