Elazar was launched in 2004 by Chaim Siegel and has served famous hedge fund clientele who demand a keen understanding of drivers of individual companies and financial markets. Chaim twice worked for renowned trader Steve Cohen of then-SAC Capital (now Point72). He was also a partner at JLF Asset Management which was funded by George Soros. Previously he was one of seven analysts on a $13B mutual fund at Morgan Stanley Asset Management. Elazar Advisors publishes its research into the Reuters/Refinitiv Institutional Platform and Factset where Elazar's earnings estimates are factored into the Street earnings numbers.  Elazar's research is used regularly by fundamental and algorithmic traders and investors at some of the largest mutual fund and hedge fund managers in the world. Chaim has been a 5-Star top ranked analyst in Tesla and other big cap tech companies. Try us with a  free trial here . All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and l

Stock Market Waiting For 2 PM To Spring Higher

The market has had so much good news but it's been on pause waiting for today's Fed decision.

The stock market stopped going down on bad news, has been going up on good news and so now sits like a coiled spring waiting for "nothing bad" at 2 PM.

Yesterday's CPI Hints To Today's Fed Decision

Yesterday's CPI of .2% and last month's .1% ex-food and energy can cause the Fed to hold off from future rate hikes this year after this next expected rate hike later today.

Today's expected Fed Funds rate hike would put them at their 2% target for the year (Search federal funds rate to see their 2018 expectation). Will there be more? Lighter inflation reports of late probably keep them at a wait-and-see. That could mean today's press conference with Chairman Jerome Powell at 2:30 would be bullish for markets.

We also pointed out that the Fed leaks to the Wall Street Journal to prep markets for coming decisions. The Wall Street Journal hinted the Fed is unsure about future hikes later this year.

A pause of the rate hike cadence would likely be taken very bullish for markets.

Already Good News: Coiled Spring Waiting To Jump

A North Korean peace treaty signed this week removes a huge amount of geopolitical risk. It also eases economic tensions in Asia. That could help strengthen trade ties between the US and China. We saw the US lift the ZTE ban and come to an agreement on trade with China.

These are meaningful positives that finally could see their market reaction after 2 PM today.

Earnings Picture Strong

Of the major companies we've spoken to we get the feeling that economic trends are strong. The only earnings period we were concerned about to subscribers in the last year was the Q4 guide in Q1. Earnings did not support stocks. But we were bullish for the Q1 reports and their guide and so far we're very bullish about what to expect for Q2.

Again, there's strong positive news. Sometimes investors just want the Fed day to pass before they buy. I think that's the case here.


All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and long term. The information provided is for information purposes only and can be wrong. By reading this you agree, understand and accept that you take upon yourself all responsibility for all of your investment decisions and to do your own work and hold Elazar Advisors, LLC, and their related parties harmless. Model portfolio trades and positions are hypothetical to be used for directional analysis and ratings purposes.

We have no positions in the securities mentioned.

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