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Friday, July 13, 2018

Stock Market: Will US-China Trade Talks Resume?

The stock market has been hit on negative trade news days but bounces with a lack of news. Any positive developments could break this market out.

Bloomberg reported that both US and China officials are considering returning to negotiations. A top trade official from China said, "when we have a trade problem we should talk about it."

China's economy is probably more at risk to a trade war, their stock market is likely more volatile and President Xi Jinping has more to lose having risen to power thanks to a strong economy.

While President Trump wants to balance trade he also has his sights set on big goals like fixing the problem of China taking technological intellectual property.

With approval ratings moving up President Trump's voter base probably gives him support to be aggressive. He won votes due in-part to his plans to win back American jobs from China. Trump feels empowered and probably knows China needs to negotiate.

Some advisors in China have recently said China needs to make some concessions. Our guess is something like that doesn't slip out said within China unless given approval.

The winds are changing potentially where Trump's momentum of voter support, tax wins, regulatory wins, and North Korea wins drives him to bring China to the table.

Any concessions and agreements would likely be a shock to markets taking us closer to new highs and beyond.

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