Elazar was launched in 2004 by Chaim Siegel and has served famous hedge fund clientele who demand a keen understanding of drivers of individual companies and financial markets. Chaim twice worked for renowned trader Steve Cohen of then-SAC Capital (now Point72). He was also a partner at JLF Asset Management which was funded by George Soros. Previously he was one of seven analysts on a $13B mutual fund at Morgan Stanley Asset Management. Elazar Advisors publishes its research into the Reuters/Refinitiv Institutional Platform and Factset where Elazar's earnings estimates are factored into the Street earnings numbers.  Elazar's research is used regularly by fundamental and algorithmic traders and investors at some of the largest mutual fund and hedge fund managers in the world. Chaim has been a 5-Star top ranked analyst in Tesla and other big cap tech companies. Try us with a  free trial here . All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and l

Tesla Earnings Red Flags

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) reports earnings Wednesday after the close. They already guided below the Street for Q4 but we think there's material risk in Q1.

The reduced tax credit can slow demand in Q1. If demand was already weaker than expected, reducing the tax credit can be a further drag in Q1.

Add to that Europe and China don't ramp until at earliest later in the quarter. So, as of their speaking to the Street on Wednesday, Tesla management will likely have limited visibility.

To give you an idea of the slowdown listen to what they said in their preannouncement January 18th,

"However, starting around May, we will need to deliver at least the mid-range Model 3 variant in all markets, as we need to reach more customers who can afford our vehicles."

When they say they need to reach "customers who can afford our vehicles" they are likely referring to the drop in the tax credit hitting demand. Also, lower priced cars will drive lower margins hitting earnings this year.

We went to Neutral on the stock for subscribers in November in the high $330s. I still think there is stock risk because our earnings numbers are still much higher than the Street. That could come out in Wednesday's earnings call.

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All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and long term. The information provided is for information purposes only and can be wrong. By reading this you agree, understand and accept that you take upon yourself all responsibility for all of your investment decisions and to do your own work and hold Elazar Advisors, LLC, and their related parties harmless. We have no holdings in the stocks mentioned unless otherwise noted.

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