Elazar Advisors, LLC

In this video we discuss the near term implications of the Fed cutting some assets last week.


All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and long term. The information provided is for information purposes only and can be wrong. By reading this you agree, understand and accept that you take upon yourself all responsibility for all of your investment decisions and to do your own work and hold Elazar Advisors, LLC, and their related parties harmless. Opinions given are at this moment and can change rapidly after this is published. All trades are hypothetical to show rating and opinion. All trades exclude relevant transaction costs. We have no holdings in the stocks mentioned unless otherwise noted.

I run through some key indicators telling me that I think the market's starting to break for a potential short term move lower.








All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and long term. The information provided is for information purposes only and can be wrong. By reading this you agree, understand and accept that you take upon yourself all responsibility for all of your investment decisions and to do your own work and hold Elazar Advisors, LLC, and their related parties harmless. Opinions given are at this moment and can change rapidly after this is published. All trades are hypothetical to show rating and opinion. All trades exclude relevant transaction costs. We have no holdings in the stocks mentioned unless otherwise noted.

Three fundamental reasons are lining up to potentially break this market. I'll tell you how I'd play it. [One change since making this video I'm further warming to shorting.]



All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and long term. The information provided is for information purposes only and can be wrong. By reading this you agree, understand and accept that you take upon yourself all responsibility for all of your investment decisions and to do your own work and hold Elazar Advisors, LLC, and their related parties harmless. All trades are hypothetical to show rating and opinion. All trades exclude relevant transaction costs. We have no holdings in the stocks mentioned unless otherwise noted.

We were bulled up yesterday coming into today's Fed meeting. But after that meeting I got much more bullish.

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All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and long term. The information provided is for information purposes only and can be wrong. By reading this you agree, understand and accept that you take upon yourself all responsibility for all of your investment decisions and to do your own work and hold Elazar Advisors, LLC, and their related parties harmless. All trades are hypothetical to show rating and opinion. All trades exclude relevant transaction costs. We have no holdings in the stocks mentioned unless otherwise noted.

We review tomorrow's Fed day and what's the next driver to the stock market.

All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and long term. The information provided is for information purposes only and can be wrong. By reading this you agree, understand and accept that you take upon yourself all responsibility for all of your investment decisions and to do your own work and hold Elazar Advisors, LLC, and their related parties harmless. All trades are hypothetical to show rating and opinion. All trades exclude relevant transaction costs. We have no holdings in the stocks mentioned unless otherwise noted.

Here's some of the notes we told subscribers today. While we've been sharing this weekly publicly, subscribers receive this and other reports intraday & daily on tech, trading and markets including our world ranked stock picks, timing calls and live chat. To see our full comments along with specific stock picks click here.


The market's run strong off the lows. For me it's extended so I don't want to chase. I need it to go sideways and work some of this excess out for me to want to step in long with a higher hit ratio opportunity. Here and now I don't consider a higher hit ratio opportunity on the long side and I don't see a nice slice break to get short.

$SPY is down 15% from the highs. Not a lot. Record Fed stimulus has to be the reason.

The market closed higher than a key level for me 281 but it still is overbought after the run so I don't want to chase.

Absolute number of new Coronavirus cases is not slowing but percentages are slowing. So that n…

Here's some of the notes we told subscribers today. While we've been sharing this weekly publicly, subscribers receive this and other reports intraday & daily on tech, trading and markets including our world ranked stock picks, timing calls and live chat. To see our full comments along with specific stock picks click here.

Let's start with the most important factor in the world right now.

The number of US Coronavirus cases slowed.

Worldwide didn't really slow. We'll know tomorrow if today's growth was 8% new case growth or less, then we're seeing a slowing.

There's chaos in the world as we all know and we are all dealing with it in some way. Most importantly, wishing everybody to be safe.

For markets the quicker that above number can slow down the sooner markets can look out to expect a business rebound.

Fundamentally I think we are within a month of these numbers slowing to a crawl but we need to see that. In the meantime the only trade will be to …

Despite market conditions (both bear and bull markets) we've managed to keep inching up the performance.

We were up 3.1% in March versus the NASDAQ QQQ down 9.1%. Year-to-date we're up 6.6% versus the QQQ down 13.2%.

We managed to get short ETFs and exit most of our longs in late February / early March on the first break of the market at SPY 331 which we pointed out publicly. At one point we were left with only one position of 1% long in the down move. We were also able to catch a couple of market bounces this month.
In my career I found that if we think it's going to be a sharp break it's better to clear out of the longs because they can go down more than the shorts. Someone who holds on to the longs in that first break, even if their net exposure is correct, can sometimes get disappointed not to get paid on the right call as the longs go down more than the shorts. That's why I prefer to clear out.

When I saw such a sharp first break of that SPY level 331 it gave …

Here's some of the notes we told subscribers today. While we've been sharing this weekly publicly, subscribers receive this and other reports intraday & daily on tech, trading and markets including our world ranked stock picks, timing calls and live chat. To see our full comments along with specific stock picks click here.

Stock Market

The market had a huge bounce in the last four days up 16% on the $SPY from the low. I do think there's some follow through potential technically.

I would guess that follow through can continue into month/quarter end on Tuesday as people want to chase.

But here's the case count of the number of people affected so far.


WWNew casesdaily %incr
USNew casesdaily %incr03/28/206631276676111%
1235781945219%03/27/205963666450112%
1041261869122%03/26/205318656083013%
854351722425%03/25/20471035323187%
682111241022%03/24/204387176021716%
558011206728%
Case growth slowed a touch. But the numbers are big and probably bigger than reported.

Italy is still i…

Here's some of the notes we told subscribers today. While we've been sharing this weekly publicly, subscriber receive this and other reports intraday & daily on tech, trading and markets including our world ranked stock picks, timing calls and live chat. To see our full comments along with specific daily stock picks click here.

Quick Review

The last two weeks each Sunday we called for new stock market lows (here and here). Three weeks ago we called for a bounce and got one. On February 23rd we called a key level that ended up being the initial break of this bear market drop.

Stock Market: What Now?

I think that this straight line down can continue until 200 SPY. It can get there or near-by at week's end at this pace. If that's correct it means short rallies to 235-240.

Jobless claims jumped on Thursday. This week they should jump again. That tells you we are currently in the recession.

Why is the market down 30%? Because jobless claims just jumped 40%. The market pre…