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Stock Market: China Risk and Hedge Funds Maxed Out

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Here's some of the notes we told subscribers today. They receive this and other reports daily on tech, trading and markets including stock picks and timing calls. To see our full comments along with specific stock picks click here.

We managed to be pretty hedged on Friday in our model portfolio. We'll have to see what this follow through is from China.

What's holding up the market is the barrage of Fed buying which we're tracking daily.

The repo market volatility and follow-on Fed support is likely in response to too many hedge funds using the repo market to fund their leverage. This is a problem, but I think only a problem when the Fed stops supporting this market.

Hedge funds were caught off guard in September and had no choice but to bid up the market when funds dried up. They had been getting funds at very low rates to fund their leveraged portfolios and then had no way to fund their portfolio when there was nobody on the other side to lend to them. Either they nee…

Elazar Moves Up In Sell Side Stock Pick Performance Rankings Again

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In our last post about our rankings we had a score of 93. The new Reuters rankings have us now at 94 out of 100.

We publish into Reuters and Factset. They both take our earnings estimates and factor it into the Street numbers. Those are the same Street numbers that everybody follows when a company reports earnings. When companies miss or beat the stocks move.

This ranking of 94 compares our stock pick performance versus all sell-siders in every industry.  Our performance has helped us get more and more exposure and influence as well. ("Sell side" means the brokers that "sell" the research as opposed to the "buy side" hedge funds and institutions that buy the research for their investing purposes.)

We're excited about the move up.

Most importantly the results come from our unique, simple, yet disciplined process to find tech winners with big upside.  We focus on large and mega cap stocks where the competition is fierce.

Our performance is not based on…

Stock Market's Next Move: Middle East Or Fed Pump

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Here's some of the notes we told subscribers today. They receive this and other reports daily on tech, trading and markets including stock picks and timing calls. To see our full comments along with specific stock picks click here.

I see a lot of stocks starting to turn down. The market's had a huge huge run. I want to see how action works out.

Oil up is an inflationary risk. It's negative for the economy. If there's a Middle-East problem now this also can affect global business and profits. I don't think this should be taken for granted. So in the meantime I want to be hedged and let the market tell us what it wants to do, up or down.

As you know we've been calling for a big short term run for a little while now (here here here). So until I see the market moving up off of this Iran news I want to play it safe.

My bias is now for a short term pullback but as I just said I want to see what the market wants to do.
I did see the Fed in buying on Friday. That's…

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