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Tesla: Fundamental And Technical Downside

Updated: Apr 1

We called out publicly risk in Tesla early this year and we've been calling out risk consistently to subscribers each day in our service.

Troy Teslike keeps bringing down estimates and is well below the Street. I've been pointing this out for a few weeks now to subscribers that there's a risk to deliveries.

Adjusting my deliveries to be more inline with Troy's deliveries makes my numbers much lower and way below the Street. Along the way I have to lower my auto margins too. My EPS are well below the Street for the next two quarters.

I see technical downside to 135, next stop versus the current $181.

PS remember that until TSLA nails FSD, they are (just) an auto company. And all CEO, Elon Musk's new (high margin) stuff, he's now potentially doing a lot of it outside the company now. And car companies fetch PE-s below 10. I'm using 40x for TSLA. If it was 10x my EPS then uh....

And, oh by the way, my annual EPS estimate is closer to a third of the Street as of now! Please let me know what you think risk/reward is based on that. And I think I've had better estimates than the Street for a few years now. [Here's me downgrading TSLA about exactly at its all time high a few years ago]

Unless you have insight that FSD is near term, be very careful.


Wishing you all continued success.

All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and long term. The information provided is for information purposes only and can be wrong. By reading this you agree, understand and accept that you take upon yourself all responsibility for all of your investment decisions and to do your own work and hold Elazar Advisors, LLC, and their related parties harmless. Opinions given are at this moment and can change rapidly after this is published. If our calls are made public (outside the service) we may or may not update our opinions publicly. 

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Mar 08
Rated 4 out of 5 stars.

Pori sawta

Pori sawtal


Mar 08
Rated 4 out of 5 stars.

Pori sawatl


Mar 05

Thanks for your information

Mar 06
Replying to

happy to share. wishing you success. Chaim

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